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An essential element of the work of the Fund is to monitor and forecast international trade. This paper uses SWIFT messages on letters of credit, together with crude oil prices and new export orders of manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), to improve the short-term forecast of...
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The cross-country convergence hypothesis is one of the central topics of long-run macroeconomics. This paper revisits this hypothesis in a context beyond GDP. It uses a novel welfare index that incorporates measures of consumption, leisure, life expectancy, and inequality. Based on a sample of...
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Part I. Introduction and background -- 1. FinTech and Artificial Intelligence for Sustainable Development: The Role of Smart Technologies in Achieving Development Goals -- 2. Exploring the Evolution of Artificial Intelligence and the Fourth Industrial Revolution an Overview -- 3. Financial...
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