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catalog for locating contributions in research areas focusing on the theory and applications of combining forecasts. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316480
We investigate the behavior of nonparametric kernel M-estimators in the presence of long-memory errors. The optimal bandwidth and a central limit theorem are obtained. It turns out that in the Gaussian case all kernel M-estimators have the same limiting normal distribution. The motivation behind...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316534
The paper presents an approach to the analysis of data that contains (multiple) structural changes in a linear regression setup. We implement various strategies which have been suggested in the literature for testing against structural changes as well as a dynamic programming algorithm for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316542
This paper illustrates the Support Vector Method for the classification problem with two and more classes. In particular, the multi-class classification Support Vector Method of Weston and Watkins (1998) is correctly formulated as a quadratic optimization problem. Then, the method is applied to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316552
We propose multivariate classification as a statistical tool to describe business cycles. These cycles are often analyzed as a univariate phenomenon in terms of GNP or industrial net production ignoring additional information in other economic variables. Multivariate classification overcomes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316572
The forecasting of time series in goods management systems causes various problems that we identify and indicate possible solutions. The implementation of auxiliary information like promotional activities or calendar effects in forecasts using ARMA models and exponential smoothing methods may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316575
We discuss the increasing literature on misspecifying structural breaks or more general trends as long range dependence. We consider tests on structural breaks in the long-memory regression model as well as the behaviour of estimators of the memory parameter when structural breaks or trends are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316582
Finanzmarktdaten wie Zinsen, Aktien- oder Wechselkurse und andere spekulative Preise setzen sich durch verschiedene Besonderheiten von sonstigen ökonomischen Zeitreihendaten ab. Dieser Artikel untersucht die Konsequenzen dieser Besonderheiten für die rationale Bewertung von Finanzinstrumenten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316603
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