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Motivated by economic-theory concepts - the Fisher hypothesis and the theory of the term structure - we consider a …-linear VAR with threshold cointegration based on data from Germany, Japan, UK, and the U.S. Following a traditional comparative …
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The classic 'logistic' model has provided a realistic model of the behaviour of Covid-19 in China and many East Asian countries. Once these countries passed the peak, the daily case count fell back, mirroring its initial climb in a symmetric way, just as the classic model predicts. However, in...
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