A longstanding finding in the forecasting literature is that averaging forecasts from different models often improves upon forecasts based on a single model, with equal weight averaging working particularly well. This paper analyzes the effects of trimming the set of models prior to averaging....

Overview -- Methods for describing oscillations, fluctuations, and cycles in univariate series -- Constructing reference cycles with multivariate information -- Model-based rules for describing recurrent events -- Measuring recurrent event features in univariate data -- Measuring synchronization...