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This paper considers Bayesian regression with normal and doubleexponential priors as forecasting methods based on large panels of time series. We show that, empirically, these forecasts are highly correlated with principal component forecasts and that they perform equally well for a wide range...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295821
This paper considers quasi-maximum likelihood estimations of a dynamic approximate factor model when the panel of time series is large. Maximum likelihood is analyzed under different sources of misspecification: omitted serial correlation of the observations and cross-sectional correlation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604720
This paper considers Bayesian regression with normal and doubleexponential priors as forecasting methods based on large panels of time series. We show that, empirically, these forecasts are highly correlated with principal component forecasts and that they perform equally well for a wide range...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604746
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003353030
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003413769
This paper considers Bayesian regression with normal and doubleexponential priors as forecasting methods based on large panels of time series. We show that, empirically, these forecasts are highly correlated with principal component forecasts and that they perform equally well for a wide range...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003380561
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003381781
This paper considers Bayesian regression with normal and doubleexponential priors as forecasting methods based on large panels of time series. We show that, empirically, these forecasts are highly correlated with principal component forecasts and that they perform equally well for a wide range...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003385783
This paper develops a framework that allows us to combine the tools provided by structural models for economic interpretation and policy analysis with those of reduced-form models designed for nowcasting. We show how to map a quarterly dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399325
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009668442