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Banker's forecasts of farmland values : a qualitative and quantitative evaluation

Kuethe, Todd H.; Hubbs, Todd - In: Journal of agricultural and applied economics : JAEE 49 (2017) 4, pp. 617-633

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012038034

Improving ERS net cash income forecasts using USDA agricultural baseline projections

Kuethe, Todd H.; Bora, Siddhartha; Katchova, Ani - In: Journal of agricultural and resource economics : JARE ; … 47 (2022) 2, pp. 246-261

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285437

The accuracy and informativeness of agricultural baselines

Bora, Siddhartha S.; Katchova, Ani L.; Kuethe, Todd H. - In: American journal of agricultural economics 105 (2023) 4, pp. 1116-1148

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364346

KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK? AN EVALUATION OF THE USDA'S LIVESTOCK PRICE FORECASTS

Sanders, Dwight R.; Manfredo, Mark R. - 2003

One step-ahead forecasts of quarterly live cattle, live hog, and broiler prices are evaluated under two general approaches: accuracy-based measures and the ability to categorize price movements directionally or within a forecasted range. Results suggest USDA price forecasts are not optimal....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442983

USDA Livestock Price Forecasts: A Comprehensive Evaluation

Sanders, Dwight R.; Manfredo, Mark R. - 2003

One-step-ahead forecasts of quarterly live cattle, live hog, and broiler prices are evaluated under two general approaches: accuracy-based measures and classification based measures which test the ability to categorize price movements directionally or within a forecasted range. Results suggest...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446620

Information Content in Deferred Futures Prices: Live Cattle and Hogs

Sanders, Dwight R.; Garcia, Philip; Manfredo, Mark R. - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, … - 2007

The marginal forecast information contained in deferred futures prices is evaluated using the direct test of Vuchelen and Gutierrez. In particular, the informational role of deferred futures contracts in live cattle and hogs is assessed from the two- to twelve-month horizons. The results...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005220315

Rationality of U.S. Department of Agriculture Livestock Price Forecasts: A Unified Approach

Sanders, Dwight R.; Manfredo, Mark R. - In: Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 39 (2007) 01

This research presents a systematic and unified approach to evaluating forecast rationality that considers the potential of nonstationarity in forecasts and realized values. The approach is applied to one-quarter ahead U.S. Department of Agriculture livestock price forecasts from 1982 through...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005320881

Information Content in Deferred Futures Prices: Live Cattle and Hogs

Sanders, Dwight R.; Garcia, Philip; Manfredo, Mark R. - In: Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 33 (2008) 01

The informational content in live cattle and hog deferred futures prices is assessed using a direct test of incremental forecast ability for two- to twelve-month horizons. For 1976-2007, the results indicate that hog futures prices add incremental information at all horizons, but unique...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005805339

USDA Livestock Price Forecasts: A Comprehensive Evaluation

Sanders, Dwight R.; Manfredo, Mark R. - In: Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 28 (2003) 02

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005805508

KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK? AN EVALUATION OF THE USDA'S LIVESTOCK PRICE FORECASTS

Sanders, Dwight R.; Manfredo, Mark R. - NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, … - 2003

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005807903