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Nonlinear inflation forecasting with recurrent neural networks
Almosova, Anna; Andresen, Niek - In: Journal of Forecasting 42 (2022) 2, pp. 240-259
time‐series in general and inflation in particular, we investigate if the forecasting performance can be improved even … performance is on par with the seasonal autoregressive model SARIMA. Additionally, we conduct a sensitivity analysis with respect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014503715
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Forecasting international tourist arrivals in formulating tourism strategies and planning: The case of Sri Lanka
Thushara, S. C.; Su, Jen-je; Bandara, Jayatilleke S. - In: Cogent Economics & Finance 7 (2019) 1, pp. 1-32
forecasting is necessary for tourism strategies and planning, and (c) the SARIMA method provides accurate forecasts in the …, infrastructure development and conducive business environments need to be developed. For that, accurate forecasting of international … purpose of this study is to develop accurate forecasting models for total international arrivals in Sri Lanka and its top 10 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014001484
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Wissenschaftlicher Nachwuchspreis "Statistical Science for the Society" 2022 und Sonderpreis "Corona – Auswirkungen der Pandemie auf Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft"
Münnich, Ralf - In: WISTA - Wirtschaft und Statistik 74 (2022) 6, pp. 107-111
Das Statistische Bundesamt vergibt seit 1999 Förderpreise an junge Wissenschaftlerinnen und Wissenschaftler, seit 2022 den wissenschaftlichen Nachwuchspreis "Statistical Science for the Society". Ausgezeichnet werden herausragende Arbeiten, die theoretische Themen mit einem engen Bezug zum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013490586
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Multiple time series forecasting using quasi-randomized functional link neural networks
Moudiki, Thierry; Planchet, Frédéric; Cousin, Areski - In: Risks 6 (2018) 1, pp. 1-20
We are interested in obtaining forecasts for multiple time series, by taking into account the potential nonlinear relationships between their observations. For this purpose, we use a specific type of regression model on an augmented dataset of lagged time series. Our model is inspired by dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996579
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Moody's ratings statistical forecasting for industrial and retail firms
Caridad y López del Río, Lorena; García-Moreno … - In: Economies 9 (2021) 4, pp. 1-15
Long-term ratings of companies are obtained from public data plus some additional nondisclosed information. A model based on data from firms' public accounts is proposed to directly obtain these ratings, showing fairly close similitude with published results from Credit Rating Agencies. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013199892
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Der Maschinenbau ruft auch nicht nach dem Staat: Sieben Fragen an Dorothea Lucke
Wittenberg, Erich; Lucke, Dorothea - In: DIW Wochenbericht 75 (2008) 48, pp. 753
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601922
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GLAMbox: A Python toolbox for investigating the association between gaze allocation and decision behaviour
Molter, Felix; Thomas, Armin W.; Heekeren, Hauke R.; … - In: PLoS ONE 14 (2019) 12, pp. 1-23
Recent empirical findings have indicated that gaze allocation plays a crucial role in simple decision behaviour. Many of these findings point towards an influence of gaze allocation onto the speed of evidence accumulation in an accumulation-to-bound decision process (resulting in generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143532
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Einzelhandel mit Bekleidung, Sportartikeln und Schuhen in Deutschland: Allgemeine Nachfrageschwäche und positive Firmenkonjunkturen
Weitzel, Günter - In: ifo Schnelldienst 58 (2005) 13, pp. 31-40
dürfte. Eine schwache Nachfrage nach Bekleidung, aber vor allem sinkende Durchschnittspreise führen zu dieser negativen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011692309
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Forecast Evaluation of Explanatory Models of Financial Variability
Sucarrat, Genaro - In: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal 3 (2009) 2009-8, pp. 1-33
A practice that has become widespread and widely endorsed is that of evaluating forecasts of financial variability obtained from discrete time models by comparing them with high-frequency ex post estimates (e.g. realised volatility) based on continuous time theory. In explanatory financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332964
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A factor analysis for the Spanish economy
Cuevas, Ángel; Quilis, Enrique M. - In: SERIEs - Journal of the Spanish Economic Association 3 (2012) 3, pp. 311-338
We present a medium-scale dynamic factor model to estimate and forecast the rate of growth of the Spanish economy in the very short term. The intermediate size of the model overcomes the serious specification problems associated with large scale-models and the implicit loss of information of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317084