The output gap is a key variable of business cycle analysis and policy. Obtaining reliable estimates for it, is very difficult, though. Most real-time estimates are frequently revised over time. The idea of this paper is to use various indicators, for example from business surveys, that (i) were...

Most mature industrial economies faced the challenge of severe structural changes in the last decades. Traditional manufacturing moved from the metropolitan and central regions to the periphery. Later the value chain in most industries changed toward knowledge intensive and service activities....

This paper presents an original econometric model for estimating a dose-response function through a regression approach when: (i) treatment is continuous, (ii) individuals may react heterogeneously to observable confounders, and (iii) selection-into-treatment may be potentially endogenous. After...