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are based on the mean assumptions of the 14th coordinated population projection of the Federal Statistical Office. For the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197899
appropriate policy responses, population ageing in the euro area is posing formidable challenges for potential growth, monetary … population ageing in the euro area and looks at the main challenges ahead in the next decades. Total population in the euro area …, which is ahead of the euro area in terms of population ageing. Precautionary savings may be higher, and the natural rate of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013286706
This paper presents a stochastic integrated model to forecast the German population and labour supply until 2060 …. Within a cohort-component approach, the population forecast applies principal components to birth, mortality, emigration and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586534
this purpose a projection model based on micro-data covering the population development as well as the development of the … point to a sharp decline in size of the total population and labor force as well as on negative effects of demographic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011634372
will decline sharply. According to the European population projection EUROPOP from 2019, the number of 20-64-year …If Germany does not succeed in attracting immigrants on a large scale in the next few years, the working-age population … in the northern and western European countries. Nevertheless, the share of the population of working age between 20 and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643782
Der demographische Wandel stellt unsere Gesellschaft vor große Herausforderungen. Gleichzeitig macht ein Rückblick auf die vergangene Dekade im deutschen Arbeitsmarkt deutlich, dass der Aufbau zusätzlicher Beschäftigung durch eine verbesserte Erwerbsintegration ein bedeutsamer Schlüssel zur...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511890
-age population could start to decline now and everywhere if this is not compensated for by immigration. This study analyzes the age … be recruited on a permanent basis. In the pandemic year 2020, Germany's population fell for the first time in nine years …'s population development already is on immigration. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012593335
(low, medium-general, medium-VET, and high) and looks at a medium-term projection period until 2030. Starting from a … different skill groups would coexist alongside each other within the projection period. In all WB6 countries, the low educated … (given their low activity rates) would experience labour shortages either already within or shortly after the projection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544925
We quantify the development of the potential labour force in Germany from 2014 to 2050 and pose the question as to which extent migration will be able to offset the well-known negative demographic influence. The mean overall results of this long period of time show that while migration may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011427859
States from 2022 to 2060, taking population projections and the large inequalities between population groups of different … education, health, and participation rates between population subgroups can have on increasing the U.S. labor force. Our … population growth. The downstream effects of removing disparities in population health and educational attainment on labor force …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576619