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We estimate and test several default risk models using new and unique data on corporate defaults in the German stock market. While defaults were extremely rare events in the 1990s, they have been a characteristic feature of the German stock market since the early 2000s. We apply the structural...
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Germany and U.S over the period 1969:2 to 2005:1. Using quarterly data for both Germany and U.S over the period 1969:2 to 2005 …-of-sample forecast of nested models in Germany. Finally analyzing the out-of sample forecast of non-nested models, using the Diebold … the other hand for the case of Germany, neither Cay-Ols nor Cay-Dls have equal predictive accuracy when compared to Cay-LL …
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