In this paper, we present a leading economic indicators approach to the predictability of currency crises in Turkey. After summarizing main theoretical models of currency crises and discussing the possible origins of financial crises in the European ERM countries (1992-93), Turkey (1994) and...

In this paper, we present a leading economic indicators approach to the predictability of currency crises in Turkey. After summarizing main theoretical models of currency crises and discussing the possible origins of financial crises in the European ERM countries (1992-93), Turkey (1994) and...

Ham petrol fiyatlarindaki artislarin petrol ithalatcisi ulkelerdeki olasi enflasyonist etkileri, ozellikle 1970’li yillarda Dunya’da yasanan iki buyuk petrol krizinden bu yana tartisilir olmustur. Bir ham petrol ithalatcisi olan Turkiye’de de, enflasyonun onemli kaynaklarindan birinin ham...

Real exchange rate misalignment measures deviations of actual real exchange rate from its long-run, or equilibrium, level. Policy makers and many researchers are interested in predicting and monitoring misalignment in the foreign exchange market, because, in many cases, it is closely related to...