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Forecasting US recessions with macro factors
Fossati, Sebastian - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009731422
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The limited usefulness of macroeconomic Bayesian VARs when estimating the probability of a US recession
Österholm, Pär - In: Journal of macroeconomics 34 (2012) 1, pp. 76-86
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009624475
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What predicts U.S. recessions?
Liu, Weiling; Mönch, Emanuel - 2014
We reassess the predictability of U.S. recessions at horizons from three months to two years ahead for a large number of previously proposed leading-indicator variables. We employ an efficient probit estimator for partially missing data and assess relative model performance based on the receiver...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010404520
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Forecast combination for US recessions with real-time data
Pauwels, Laurent; Vasnev, Andrey - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 28 (2014), pp. 138-148
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010461164
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Should transportation output be included as part of the coincident indicators system?
Lahiri, Kajal; Yao, Wenxiong - In: Journal of business cycle measurement and analysis : a … (2012) 1, pp. 5-28
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009679951
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Predicting growth rates and recessions : assessing U.S. leading indicators under real-time conditions
Dovern, Jonas; Ziegler, Christina Elisabeth - In: Applied economics quarterly 54 (2008) 4, pp. 293-318
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003816819
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Using financial indicators to predict turning points in the business cycle : the case of the leading economic index for the United States
Levanon, Gad; Manini, Jean-Claude; Ozyildirim, Ataman; … - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 2, pp. 399-425
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474152
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A dynamic factor model of the coincident indicators for the US transportation sector
Lahiri, Kajal; Yao, Wenxiong - In: Applied economics letters 11 (2004) 10, pp. 595-600
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002193967
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Forecasting with real-time macroeconomic data : the ragged-edge problem and revisions
Bouwman, Kees E. (contributor); Jacobs, Jan (contributor) - 2005
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002999487