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This study examines the inter-temporal links between world oil prices, ISE 100 and ISE electricity index returns unadjusted and adjusted for market effects. The traditional approaches could not detect a causal relationship running from oil returns to any of the stock returns. However, when we...
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Forward commodity markets allow more efficient risk-sharing and information aggregation, but there is little evidence that this reduces the cost of producing the commodity. We develop a measure of the extent to which forward and spot prices agree in commodity markets with transaction costs and...
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Wholesale electricity markets are increasingly integrated via high voltage interconnectors, and inter-regional trade in electricity is growing. To model this, we consider a spatial equilibrium model of price formation, where constraints on inter-regional flows result in three distinct equilibria...
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We introduce a three-factor model of electricity spot prices, consisting of a deterministic seasonality and trend function as well as short- and long-term stochastic components, and derive a formula for futures prices. The long-term component is modelled as a Lévy process with increments...
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