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Heuristiken am Devisenmarkt zu untersuchen. Die Entscheidungssituation am Devisenmarkt kann aufgrund seiner Komplexität als ein … zukünftigen Wechselkurse bilden und dass der Devisenmarkt effizient ist. Insgesamt zeigen die eigenen empirischen Untersuchungen … wird die Relevanz von Spekulation am Devisenmarkt diskutiert. Zum Schluss des Kapitels setzt sich der Autor mit der …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433679
Using a panel data set of U.S. non-financial firms with geographically segmented firm-level information on currency exposures, exchange rates, and foreign currency derivatives, we document that managers adjust derivatives holdings in response to past foreign exchange returns. We interpret this...
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This paper studies the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bundesbank / European Central Bank (ECB) with respect to stock or/and foreign exchange markets from 1979 to 2009. I find that Fed policy changed over time, dependent on the chairman of the Fed. During the Greenspan era...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308139
This work extends earlier survey studies on the use of technical analysis by considering flow analysis as a third form of information production. Moreover the survey covers FX dealers and also the rising fund managers. Technical analysis has gained importance over time and is now the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317611
We develop a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one. This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble one. In a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261158
This paper investigates the relationship between the euro-dollar exchange rate and its underlying fundamentals. First, we develop a simple theoretical model in which chartists and fundamentalists interact. This model predicts the existence of different regimes, and thus nonlinearities in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261347
Since 1997, the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has met monthly to set the UK policy interest rate. We examine evidence of systematic patterns in exchange rate movements on MPC days over the first decade of operation of the MPC. Daily data reveal significant differences in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264608