This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily...

We develop the complete 6-dimensional classical symmetry group of the partial differential equation (PDE) that governs the fair price of a simple Asian option within a simple market model. The symmetries we expose include the 5-dimensional symmetry group partially noted by Rogers and Shi, and...

We use a time-varying copula model to investigate the impact of the introduction of the Euro on the dependence between seventeen European stock markets during the period 1994-2003. The model is implemented with a GJR-GARCH-t model for the marginal distributions and the Gaussian copula for the...