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Macroeconomic modelling in EMU : how relevant is the change in regime?
Andrés Domingo, Javier Angel; Restoy Lozano, Fernando - 2007
output and inflation. In particular, we evaluate the impact of the regime shift on the forecasting performance of reduced … insignificant. The impact on ouput forecasting accuracy would be comparatively much larger if the new monetary union regime is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530173
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Forecasting and policy making
Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik Hendrik - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368564
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Forecasting and policy making
Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik H. - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394237
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Forecasting and policy making
Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik Hendrik - House of Finance, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010955284
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OECD Forecasts During and After the Financial Crisis: A Post Mortem
Pain, Nigel; Lewis, Christine; Dang, Thai-Thanh; Jin, Yosuke - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2014
made in the first oil price shock of the 1970s. In response to the challenges encountered in forecasting in recent years … and the lessons learnt, the OECD and other international organisations have sought to improve their forecasting techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277004
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Internet search behavior as an economic forecasting tool: The case of inflation expectations
Guzman, Giselle - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation …, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
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Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns
Guzman, Giselle C. - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
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世界经济长波导论:对危机与萧条的研究及预测
dong, congcong - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006
As is considered in this paper，none of the ever existing long wave theories can totally describe or correctly explain the chronic fluctuating characters of the capitalist world economy system since the year 1857. Based on Karl Marx’s greatest work “Capital” and combined with considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836407
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Short-term forecasts of euro area real GDP growth: an assessment of real-time performance based on vintage data
Diron, Marie - 2006
Economic policy makers, international organisations and private-sector forecasters commonly use short-term forecasts of real GDP growth based on monthly indicators, such as industrial production, retail sales and confidence surveys. An assessment of the reliability of such tools and of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604668
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Estimation and forecasting using mixed-frequency DSGE models
Meyer-Gohde, Alexander; Shabalina, Ekaterina - 2022
higher frequency auxiliary data only for forecasting (see Giannone, Monti and Reichlin (2016)). The second method transforms … our method substantially decreases forecasting errors for recessions, but casting the model in a monthly frequency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013471326