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It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time independent correlations. Using surrogate data with the true...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017958
We investigate present some new statistical properties of order books. We analyse data from the Nasdaq and investigate (a) the statistics of incoming limit order prices, (b) the shape of the average order book, and (c) the typical life time of a limit order as a function of the distance from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017959
We investigate quantitatively the so-called leverage effect, which corresponds to a negative correlation between past returns and future volatility. For individual stocks, this correlation is moderate and decays exponentially over 50 days, while for stock indices, it is much stronger but decays...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017960
We present a exactly soluble model for financial time series that mimics the long range volatility correlations known to be present in financial data. Although our model is `monofractal' by construction, it shows apparent multiscaling as a result of a slow crossover phenomenon on finite time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017961
The concepts of scale invariance, self-similarity and scaling have been fruitfully applied to the study of price fluctuations in financial markets. After a brief review of the properties of stable Levy distributions and their applications to market data we indicate the shortcomings of such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017962
We discuss two more universal features of stock markets: the so-called leverage effect (a negative correlation between past returns and future volatility), and the increased downside correlations. For individual stocks, the leverage correlation can be rationalized in terms of a new `retarded'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017963
We generalize the construction of the multifractal random walk (MRW) due to Bacry, Delour and Muzy to take into account the asymmetric character of the financial returns. We show how one can include in this class of models the observed correlation between past returns and future volatilities, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017964
We summarize recent research in a rapid growing field, that of statistical finance, also called `econophysics'. There are three main themes in this activity: (i) empirical studies and the discovery of interesting universal features in the statistical texture of financial time series, (ii) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017965
This is a reply to Johansen's comment on `Are Financial Crashes Predictable?', by L. Laloux, M. Potters, R. Cont, J.P. Aguilar, J.P. Bouchaud, Europhys. Lett. 45, p. 1 (1999).
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017966
We critically review recent claims that financial crashes can be predicted using the idea of log-periodic oscillations or by other methods inspired by the physics of critical phenomena. In particular, the October 1997 `correction' does not appear to be the accumulation point of a geometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017967