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The value of stocks, indices and other assets, are examples of stochastic processes with unpredictable dynamics. In this paper, we discuss asymmetries in short term price movements that can not be associated with a long term positive trend. These empirical asymmetries predict that stock index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005099080
By applying inverse statistics to financial data it has recently been found from empirical studies that indices exhibit a pronounced gain-loss asymmetry [M.H. Jensen, Phys. Rev. Lett. 83 (1999) 76; I. Simonsen, M.H. Jensen, A. Johansen, Eur. Phys. J. B 27 (2002) 583; M.H. Jensen, A. Johansen, I....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588615
We review a resent {\em time-dependent} performance measure for economical time series -- the (optimal) investment horizon approach. For stock indices, the approach shows a pronounced gain-loss asymmetry that is {\em not} observed for the individual stocks that comprise the index. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084258
Inverse statistics in economics is considered. We argue that the natural candidate for such statistics is the investment horizons distribution. This distribution of waiting times needed to achieve a predefined level of return is obtained from (often detrended) historic asset prices. Such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084327
In stochastic finance, one traditionally considers the return as a competitive measure of an asset, {\it i.e.}, the profit generated by that asset after some fixed time span $\Delta t$, say one week or one year. This measures how well (or how bad) the asset performs over that given period of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084343
We consider a financial market where the asset price follows a fractional Brownian motion. We introduce a family of investment strategies, and quantify profit possibilities for both persistent and antipersistant markets.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005098696
We propose a simple market model where agents trade different types of products with each other by using money, relying only on local information. Value fluctuations of single products, combined with the condition of maximum profit in transactions, readily lead to persistent fluctuations in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010591280
We propose a protein model based on a hierarchy of constraints that force the protein to follow certain pathways when changing conformation. The model exhibits a first-order phase transition, cooperativity and is exactly solvable. It also shows an unexpected symmetry between folding and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874648
We consider directed percolation with an absorbing boundary in 1 + 1 and 2 + 1 dimensions. The distribution of cluster lifetimes and sizes depend on the boundary. The new scaling exponents can be related to the exponents characterizing standard directed percolation 1 + 1 dimension. In addition,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011060148
In recent publications, the authors have considered inverse statistics of the Dow Jones Industrial Averaged (DJIA). Specifically, we argued that the natural candidate for such statistics is the investment horizons distribution. This is the distribution of waiting times needed to achieve a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735041