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This paper studies regional output asymmetries following U.S. federal tax shocks. We estimate a vector autoregressive model for each U.S. state, utilizing the exogenous tax shock series recently proposed by Romer and Romer (2010) and find considerable variations: estimated output multipliers lie...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108133
We investigate the relation between large negative house price co-movements in the cross-section of US cities and the national business cycle. The occurrences of large negative house price co-movements across cities cluster over time and these clusters are closely linked to NBER recession dates....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901726
This document contains the first two chapters from my dissertation, titled Three Essays on Consumption and Geography, which use data provided by the Kilts Center for Marketing Data Center. Together they highlight the importance of accounting for geographic differences in new product entry to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921777
We estimate real consumption's growth rate and volatility in light of three new facts documenting geographic differences in consumption: (1) consumers in separate markets buy different products, (2) a product's market share varies geographically conditional on relative price, and (3) product...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932589
Using micro-level household mortgage data, I measure dispersion in the credit quality of borrowers in the housing market and show that it forecasts regional real economic activity. I provide empirical evidence that associates the predictive power of dispersion with heterogeneity in the exposure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251904
We set up a two-region model to study the policy challenge of bringing the North's income up to the level of the South in the UK. The model focuses on labour costs as the driver of output gains through the international competitiveness channel. The empirical results show that the regional model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483772
Regionalspezifische Wirtschaftsstrukturen haben einen Einfluss auf die Resilienz von Regionen in konjunkturellen Krisenzeiten. Noch unklar ist in diesem Zusammenhang die relative Bedeutung kleinerer Unternehmen. Haben sie hinsichtlich der Arbeitslosigkeitsentwicklung in der Corona-Pandemie als...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012439451
This paper develops a statistical model for measuring spatial interactions when estimating macroeconomic regimes and regime shifts. The model is applied to study the contagion and propagation of recessions in small regional economies in the United States from 1990 to 2015. The empirical analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011567460
Turmoil in euro area once more forces EU authorities to rethink future of further monetary integration. One of the most commonly used criterions for successful monetary in contemporary research is business cycle synchronization (BCS). Though BCS has been vastly described at country level, not as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012011034
This study represents a first attempt to empirically analyze the role of firm heterogeneity in regional business cycle behaviour. Working with monthly Italy's firms data and estimating a random effects ordered probit model, we first document sizable asymmetries in Northern and Southern firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011522570