becoming a metric for rationality. When inferential expectations are built into a Dornbusch-style model of the exchange rate … inferential expectations. If a belief is overturned through the build-up of evidence, agents are assumed to switch to the rational … expectation. Rational expectations are shown to be a special (limiting) case of inferential expectations, with the test size a …

expectations in the sense that any other expectations justifying his choices imply a smaller likelihood for the history he observes … with limited memory, then there are rationally formed expectations equilibria exhibiting an excess volatility that no … rational expectations equilibrium can match. Given that the limited records or finite memory case may arguably be the relevant …

The notion of optimized rational behavior in the formation of expectations is used in this note to study the dynamics …, the selection of an optimal degree of rationality may lead to the generation of long-term endogenous fluctuations. …

neoclassical assumption of selfish utility maximization with bounded rationality and satisficing and by incorporating the reaction …

neoclassical assumption of selfish utility maximization with bounded rationality and satisficing and by incorporating the reaction …

The concept of adaptive rationality as a characteristic of economic behavior viewed in the framework of evolution of … institutions is proposed in the paper. The analysis of the most important approaches to rationality in the economic theory has … allowed identifying the special nature of adaptive rationality and its manifestations at various levels of the economic …

neoclassical assumption of selfish utility maximization with bounded rationality and satisficing and by incorporating the reaction …

Evolutionary game theory provides a fresh perspective on the prospects that agents with heterogeneous expectations … conditions where agreement on a unique forecast is stable, but also show that persistent heterogeneous expectations can arise if …