As of recent, EIM employs a revised labour-cost model. Amongst others, the revision was spurred by substantial changes materializing over the past three years in the field of social-security legislation. The objective of the ARKO (the abbreviation ARKO denotes the Dutch term ARbeidsKosten...

This paper develops a game-theoretic model of public policy in a developing country in order to explain a number of empirical regularities. It is shown that under certain circumstances, and increase in government revenue will be completly crowded out by incresed rent dissipation, leaving the...

In this paper we extend a job search-matching model with firm-specific investments in training developed by Mortensen (1998) to allow for different offer arrival rates in employment and unemployment. The model by Mortensen changes the original wage posting model (Burdett and Mortensen, 1998) in...

This paper introduces a matching model of credit and exchange in which potentiel difficulties in the enforcement of contracts play a central role. The repeated games framework that is developed is used to analyze the pricing and availability of credit, the consequences of information monopoly in...

One of the stylized facts in financial and international economics is that of increasing predictability of variables such as exchange rates and stock returns at longer horizons. This fact is based upon applications of long horizon regressions, from which the typical findings are that the point...

This paper presents recent econometric models of individual mobility on the labor market. The general framework is given by the theory of point processes which are continuous time finite state space processes. The first part of the paper is devoted to specification problems and the inference of...

More than thirty years ago Milton Friedman proposed a 'plucking' model of business fluctuations in which output cannot exceed a ceiling level, but will, from time to time, be plucked downward by recession. The model implied that business fluctuations are asymmetric, that recessions have only a...

We explore the business-cycle implications of agency problems between firms and financiers. We show how these problems create liquidity shortages that can lead to corporate bankruptcy, and may generate aggregate, endogenous cycles in an economy that otherwise would have had a unique, stationary...

This paper proposes a new kind of asymmetric GARCh where the conditional variance obeys two different regimes with a smooth transition function. In one formulation variance reacts differently to negative and positive shocks while a second formulation, small and big shocks have separate effects.

We consider a random matching model without monetary exchange where agents have complete access to each others' histories. Exchange is motivated by risk sharing given random unobservable incomes. The key feature of this environment is that information is mobile across locations even while goods...