We use a vector-autoregression, with parameter estimates corrected for small-sample bias, to decompose US and German unexpected bond returns into three 'news' components: news about future inflation, news about future real interest rates, and news about future excess bond returns (term premia)....

Capital flows into the euro area were particularly large in the mid-2000s and the share of foreign holdings of euro area securities increased substantially between the introduction of the euro and the outbreak of the global financial crisis. We show that the increase in foreign holdings of euro...

It has been argued that foreign direct investment can exert upward or downward pressure on the domestic interest rate depending on foreign investors’ relative weights on internal and external finance with respect to the domestic economy. Additionally, a country’s level of institutional...

Asian economies are increasingly integrated to the global economy through trade and financial linkages, exposing them to the international financial cycle. This paper explores how external shocks are transmitted to Asian economies and whether the use of policies, such as the monetary policy...

Turkish Abstract: Makroekonomik göstergeler, ekonomilerin genel durumunu yansıtan önemli araçlardır. Büyüme, enflasyon ve işsizlik gibi göstergeler farklı değişkenlerden etkilenmektedir. Buna karşın, faiz oranları tüm makroekonomik göstergeleri pozitif veya negatif etkileyen en...

We show that “preemptive” capital flow management measures (CFM) can reduce emerging markets and developing countries’ (EMDE) external finance premia during risk-off shocks, especially for vulnerable countries. Using a panel dataset of 56 EMDEs during 1996–2020 at monthly frequency, we...

Foreign official purchases of U.S. government bonds have an economically large and statistically significant impact on long-term interest rates. Federal Reserve credibility, as evidenced by dramatic reductions in both long-term inflation expectations and the volatility of long rates, contributed...

Capital flows into the euro area were particularly large in the mid-2000s and the share of foreign holdings of euro area securities increased substantially between the introduction of the euro and the outbreak of the global financial crisis. We show that the increase in foreign holdings of euro...

Sukuk issues by Japanese companies are still few. Aeon Credit Service Malaysia became the first Japanese company to issue sukuk in 2007, and Toyota Financial Services' Malaysian subsidiary, UMW Toyota Capital (UMWTC, now called Toyota Capital Malaysia) was next with an issuance in 2008. Both...