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In this article, the GDP deflator is predicted starting from econometric models of historical errors of forecasts based on Dobrescu macromodel. In Romania, a significant relationship between GDP deflator and GDP index predictions was not confirmed. However, there is an important dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010858385
The study of the economic processes and phenomena using time-series is an important source of information for the analyses carried out both at the microeconomic level, and those made at the macroeconomic level. Within the framework of this work are presented a series of theoretical aspects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010859960
The purpose of this paper is to present the framework for statistical analyzing the monetary transmission mechanism: the process through which monetary policy decisions are transmitted into changes in real GDP, and inflation; and to evaluate the transmission mechanism in the monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010859995
The present paper exposes an overview of the state-of-the-art of R statistical software in the official statistics in Romania, predominantly in the social statistics. Examples on data analysis and econometric models of Small Area Estimation successfully completed are given.The scientific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860013
In this paper the Kullback-Leibler notion of discrepancy (Kullback and Leibler, 1951) is used to propose a measure of multigroup segregation over a set of organizational units within a multivariate framework. Among the main results of the paper it is established that the Mutual Information index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861831
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010867824
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010867872
Many macroeconomic forecasts and forecast updates like those from IMF and OECD typically involve both a model component, which is replicable, as well as intuition, which is non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If forecast updates are progressive, forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010869918
This study uses contingent valuation (CV) methods to estimate the benefit of an environmental water quality project of the Tietê River and its tributaries that flow through the São Paulo, Brazil, Metropolitan Area (SPMA). This paper demonstrates the range alternative central tendency measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010655848
It has been argued that existing DSGE models cannot properly account for the evolution of key macroeconomic variables during and following the recent Great Recession, and that models in which inflation depends on economic slack cannot explain the recent muted behavior of inflation, given the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010659548