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Since Kahneman and Tversky (1979), it has been generally recognized that decision makers overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities. Of the several weighting functions that have been proposed, that of Prelec (1998) has the attractions that it is parsimonious, consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005422702
moment. As illustrative examples, we also show that CCP allows us to resolve three paradoxes: the insurance paradox, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559912
certain. (3) Buy inadequate insurance for very low probability events. (4) Keeping the expected loss fixed, there is a … probability below which the take-up of insurance drops dramatically. Expected utility (EU) fails on 1-4. Existing models of rank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458599
certain. (3) Buy inadequate insurance for very low probability events. (4) Keeping the expected loss fixed, there is a … probability below which the take-up of insurance drops dramatically. Expected utility (EU) fails on 1-4. Existing models of rank …. -- Decision making under risk ; Insurance ; Composite Prelec probability weighting functions ; Composite rank dependent utility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003954032
Prospect theory is the main behavioral alternative to expected utility. Tversky and Kahnemann (1992) motivate the utility function for gains and losses under prospect theory by using the axiom of preference homogeneity. However, they do not provide the formal proof. We provide the relevant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561912
Among the most popular models for decision under risk and uncertainty are the rank-dependent models, introduced by Quiggin and Schmeidler.Central concepts in these models are rank-dependence and comonotonicity.It has been suggested in the literature that these concepts are technical tools that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011091001
This paper presents a model for the "gambling effect," i.e., the effect that risky gambles are evaluated differently than riskless outcomes due to an intrinsic utility (or disutility) of gambling.The model turns out to violate stochastic dominance and therefore its primary applications will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011091725
Mathematical algorithms often fail to identify in time when the international financial crises occur although, as the classical theory of choice would suggest, the economic agents are rational and the markets are or should be efficient and behave also rationally. This contribution tries to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604539
Mathematical algorithms often fail to identify in time when the international financial crises occur although, as the classical theory of choice would suggest, the economic agents are rational and the markets are or should be efficient and behave also rationally. This contribution tries to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114155
This contribution focuses on the concept of bounded rationality, highlighting the role of psychology in the economic decisions. The work analyzes Simon's approach and his notion of bounded rationality as procedural rationality. Moreover, it examines some major contributions of behavioral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010898027