OOSTERLINCK, Kim; Szafarz, Ariane; De Scheemaekere, Xavier - Centre Emile Bernheim, Solvay Brussels School of … - 2014
Economists have been blamed for their inability to forecast and address crises. This paper attributes this inability to intertwined factors: the lack of a coherent definition of crises, the reference class problem, the lack of imagination regarding the nature of future crises, and sample...