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Common sense and hard decision analysis : why might they conflict?

Goodwin, Paul - In: Management decision : MD 47 (2009) 3, pp. 427-440

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009524567

Is a more liberal approach to conservatism needed in forecasting?

Goodwin, Paul - In: Journal of business research : JBR 68 (2015) 8, pp. 1753-1754

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317068

When simple alternatives to Bayes formula work well : reducing the cognitive load when updating probability forecasts

Goodwin, Paul - In: Journal of business research : JBR 68 (2015) 8, pp. 1686-1691

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317089

Adjusting judgemental extrapolations using Theil's method and discounted weighted regression

Goodwin, Paul - In: Journal of forecasting 16 (1997) 1, pp. 37-46

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001215420

Performance measurement in the M4 competition : possible future research

Goodwin, Paul - In: International journal of forecasting 36 (2020) 1, pp. 189-190

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012406249

Profit from your forecasting software : a best practice guide for sales forecasters

Goodwin, Paul - 2018

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011808809

Commentary on "Transparent modelling of influenza incidence" : the need to justify complexity

Goodwin, Paul - In: International journal of forecasting 38 (2022) 2, pp. 628-629

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348683

Performance evaluation of judgemental directional exchange rate predictions

Pollock, Andrew C.; Macaulay, Alex; Thomson, Mary E.; … - 2005

A procedure is proposed for examining different aspects of performance for judgemental directional probability predictions of exchange rate movements. In particular, a range of new predictive performance measures is identified to highlight specific expressions of strengths and weaknesses in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435350

Evaluating strategic directional probability predictions of exchange rates

Pollock, Andrew C.; MacAulay, Alex; Wilkie-Thomson, Mary E. - In: International journal of applied management science 2 (2010) 3, pp. 282-304

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646950

Wisdom of group forecasts : does role-playing play a role?

Önkal, Dilek; Sayım, Kadire Zeynep; Lawrence, Michael J. - In: Omega : the international journal of management science 40 (2012) 6, pp. 693-702

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009531383