in the simulation model changes these results: the ex post yield differential is now correlated with the real exchange … rate and the output gap. In the empirical part of the paper we demonstrate the applicability of our simulation results …

foreign exchange market; forward rates falling outside the projected band do not necessarily reflect lack of credibility in …

Recently, there has been much discussion about replicability and credibility. By integrating the full research record …, increasing statistical power, reducing bias and enhancing credibility, meta-analysis is widely regarded as 'best evidence …'. Through Monte Carlo simulation, closely calibrated on the typical conditions found among 6,700 economics research papers, we …

associated process simulation backfire in terms of credibility and persuasion (Studies 6–7). These findings contribute to … ad-type effect: progression ads foster spontaneous simulation of the process through which the change will happen, which … impairing process simulation and high skepticism moderate the ad-type effect (Studies 4–5). Finally, they show effect reversals …