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forests to estimate our forecasting models. As an extension, we report empirical evidence on the predictive value of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015198557
We provide a versatile nowcasting toolbox that supports three model classes (dynamic factor models, large Bayesian VAR, bridge equations) and offers methods to manage data selection and adjust for Covid-19 observations. The toolbox aims at simplifying two key tasks: creating new nowcasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015199442
their forecasting performance. Our findings reveal significant heterogeneity in ETM volatility patterns, which challenge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015210001
prices, we show that machine learning generated forecasts provide better forecasting quality and that portfolios which are … process, we show that information channels vary across forecasting horizon. Variable selection produces clusters and provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284478
taken into account. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we confirm that our methods substantially improve the forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471687
of multi-channel customer contact, organizational decision-makers often rely on robust but simplistic forecasting methods …. Although forecasting literature indicates that incorporating additional information into time series predictions adds value by … for call center arrivals' forecasting that is able to capture the dynamics of a time series and to include contextual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501665
In this study, we analyzed the forecasting and nowcasting performance of a generalized regression neural network (GRNN …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502562
In this paper, we have considered three important variables concerning COVID-19 viz., (i) the number of daily new cases, (ii) the number of daily total cases, and (iii) the number of daily deaths, and proposed a modelling procedure, so that the nature of trend in these series could be studied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014519011
We propose a method to incorporate information from Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models into Dynamic Factor Analysis. The method combines a procedure previously applied for Bayesian Vector Autoregressions and a Gibbs Sampling approach for Dynamic Factor Models. The factors in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316078
We present a medium-scale dynamic factor model to estimate and forecast the rate of growth of the Spanish economy in the very short term. The intermediate size of the model overcomes the serious specification problems associated with large scale-models and the implicit loss of information of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317084