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limited to short-term predictions, the value of Google data for forecasting purposes is episodic, and the improvements in … forecasting accuracy are only modest. The results, obtained by (pseudo) out-of-sample forecast comparison, are robust to a state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037588
There are over 3 billion searches globally on Google every day. This report examines whether Google search queries can be used to predict the present and the near future unemployment rate in Finland. Predicting the present and the near future is of interest, as the official records of the state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037651
In this report we document the ETLAnow project. ETLAnow is a model for forecasting with big data. At the moment, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037674
A forecasting exercise is presented to assess the predictive potential of a daily price index based on online prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057263
agreed. In short, forecasting inflation is of foremost importance to households, businesses, and policymakers. In 2016, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057271
have been shown to improve forecasting models for various economic and financial series. In the aftermath of the global … financial crisis, modeling and forecasting mortgage demand and subsequent approvals have become a central issue in the banking … number of new mortgage approvals and markedly improve their nowcasting and forecasting performance. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063503
We present a comprehensive disaggregate approach for short-term forecasting economic activity in Germany by explicitly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011902328
We investigate whether the KOF Economic Barometer - a leading indicator released by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute - is useful for short-term prediction of quarterly year-on-year real GDP growth in Switzerland. Using a real-time data set consisting of historical vintages of GDP data and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933267
variables by aggregation. To investigate the potential gain in using such a large information set, we compare the forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968274
on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263102