Options on agricultural futures are popular financial instruments used for agricultural price risk management and to speculate on future price movements. Poor performance of Black’s classical option pricing model has stimulated many researchers to introduce pricing models that are more...

The Neoclassical theory of production establishes a dual relationship between the profit value function of a competitive firm and its underlying production technology. This relationship, usually referred to as the duality theory, has been widely used in empirical work to estimate production...

An important issue in the agricultural actuarial literature is the extent to which sample period selection affects the accuracy of insurance rating. A conditional Weibull distribution approach is developed which explicitly models the interaction of weather, technology, and other variables...

We theoretically examine a farmer’s coverage demand with area and individual insurance plans as either separate or integrated options. The individual and area losses are assumed to be imperfectly and positively correlated. With actuarially fair rates, the farmer will fully insure with the...

We theoretically examine a farmer’s coverage demand with area and individual insurance plans as either separate or integrated options. The individual and area losses are assumed to be imperfectly and positively correlated. With actuarially fair rates, the farmer will fully insure with the...

The behavior of agricultural commodity markets can arguably result in markedly asymmetricprice cycles, that is, downward cycles of substantially different length and breadth thanupward cycles. This study assesses whether asymmetric-cycle models can enhance the understandingof the dynamics and...

This article has been made according to my dissertation in which I present some opportunity of risk analysis and risk managementin the decision support of crop production.Plant production is one of the most hazardous agricultural enterprises. Among risk sources seasonal fluctuation of average...

Systemic weather risk is a major obstacle for the formation of private (nonsubsidized) crop insurance. This paper explores the possibility of spatial diversification of insurance by estimating the joint occurrence of unfavorable weather conditions in different locations. For that purpose copula...

This paper describes farmer’s exposures to risks at the individual farm level and develops a model representing the decisions of an individual risk averse farmer facing variability in both prices and yields. A set of stylised risk market instruments is represented. The model is calibrated...

Climate change with increasing climate variability is likely to alter risks in agriculturalproduction. The effectiveness of using weather derivatives to hedge against drought risks forrain-fed grain maize production was investigated for current (1981-2003) and future (2070-2100) climates in...