This paper develops a simple model for measuring potential output that uses data on inflation, unemployment, and capacity utilization. We apply the model to 10 countries, in addition to the United States and the euro area. While there is a substantial amount of uncertainty around our estimates,...

This paper develops a new monthly World Trade Leading Indicator (WTLI) that relies on nonparametric and parametric approaches. Compared to the CPB World Trade Monitor's benchmark indicator for global trade the WTLI captures turning points in global trade with an average lead between 2 and 3...

Ziel dieser Studie ist die empirisch fundierte Untersuchung der tageszeitlichen Nachfrage nach Serviceleistungen. Datengrundlage hierfür ist die Zeitbudgeterhebung 2001/2002 des Statistischen Bundesamtes. Den Rahmen für unsere Analyse bilden die neuen Regulierungen der Ladenschlusszeiten in...