One of the central hypotheses of behavioural finance is that stock prices systematically overreact. The seminal study is DeBondt and Thaler (1985), which appears to show that past winners (stocks that have earned the highest positive abnormal returns during the pre-formation period) tend to...

The vicious positive and negative feedback loops (vicious reflexivities) that occur in all areas of the social sciences have the same structure as the logical paradoxes of the Liar and Anti-Liar, and of the corresponding Russell and Anti-Russell paradoxes in set theory. In recent decades the...

We look for the existence of a value premium in the UK equity market for the period 1987-2002. Previous studies are subject to four methodological biases: (1) survivorship bias, (2) look-ahead bias, (3) a downward bias in post-formation growth stock returns caused by excluding recently listed...

This paper re-examines the small firm premium in the UK from December 1987 to December 2004 using a new survivorship bias-free and look-ahead bias-free database of the UK market covering stocks officially listed in the UK during this period. Prior research (Dimson, E., and P.R. Marsh. 1987. The...

It is shown that logical contradictions are derivable from natural translations into first order logic of the description and background assumptions of the Soros Game, and of other games and social contexts that exhibit conflict and reflexivity. The logical structure of these contexts is...

This paper re-examines the small firm premium in the UK from December 1987 to December 2004 using a new survivorship bias-free and look-ahead bias-free database of the UK market covering stocks officially listed in the UK during this period. Prior research (Dimson, E., and P.R. Marsh. 1987. The...

The Leicester Business School Occasional Papers reflect the scholarship and research of staff, postgraduates and others associated with the school. Many of the papers take the form of preliminary reports of research in progress or explorations of theoretical ideas. Publication of such work in...