This paper develops an open-economy DSGE model with a housing-market sector and a borrowing constraint. Contrary to standard conventions, domestic households are allowed to invest in foreign housing and vice versa. Using Bayesian methods, the model is applied to data for Hong Kong. The results...

We investigate the finance-growth nexus before and around the global financial crisis using for the first time OTC derivative data in growth estimates. Beyond the most recent Wacthel and Rousseau (2010) evidence which documents the interruption of the positive finance-growth relationship after...

We examine how the predictive power of term spreads as predictors of economic recessions in Europe and the US has changed in the last two decades. In particular, we focus on the power of domestic and of US and German term spreads to predict real economic activity. Using a battery of...

In this paper, we propose an alternative methodology to determine the existence of credit booms, which is a complex and crucial issue for policymakers. In particular, we exploit the Mendoza and Terrones (2008)’s idea that macroeconomic aggregates other than the credit growth rate contain...

The purpose of the study is to examine whether financial reforms implemented in the 1980's and 1990's altered the pattern of aggregate consumption behaviour in Malawi. More specifically, the study questions whether financial reforms affected consumption behaviour by reducing the excess...

Acest studiu investigheaza rolul capitalului strain, al creditarii bancare si al îndatorarii sectorului privat în formarea dezechilibrelor premergatoare crizei financiare din tarile europene. Mai întâi, am aratat ca atât stocul de credit total, cât si cel privat sunt puternic corelate cu...

Prezentul studiu reprezinta o sinteza teoretica privind originea si mecanismele de formare a crizelor financiare. Am realizat mai întâi o tipologie a acestor crize în functie de simptomele specifice si am propus indicatori statistici ai vulnerabilitatilor reprezentative pentru fiecare tip de...

We analyze the role of house and stock prices in the monetary policy transmission mechanism in the U.S. using a structural VAR model. The VAR is identifed using a combination of short-run and long-run (neutrality) restrictions, allowing for contemporaneous interaction between monetary policy and...

The objective of this paper is to explore the sensitivity of industry-specific stock returns to monetary policy and macroeconomic news. The paper looks at a range of industry-specific South African stock market indices and evaluates the sensitivity of these indices to a various unanticipated...

Underpricing of Initial Public Offerings (IPO) has always been a big deal to see the money left on the table by the issuers. This study analyzes the after-market performances of IPOs observed in 2006-2011 period in Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE). Besides looking at the period as a whole, we...