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Die seit der Finanzkrise massiv steigende Staatsverschuldung hat die Inflationssorgen vieler Anleger erhöht. Karsten Junius und Kristian Tödtman, DekaBank, zeigen in diesem Artikel, über welche Effekte höhere Inflationsraten zu niedrigeren Staatsschuldenquoten beitragen können. Dazu...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011693084
economic growth. This paper examines the roles of three other factors: primary budget surpluses, surprise inflation, and pegged … inflation and the pre-Accord peg. In this counterfactual, debt/GDP declines only to 74% in 1974, not 23% as in actual history …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337810
We extend previous work on the sustainability of the government's intertemporal budget constraint by allowing for non-linear adjustment of the fiscal variables, conditional on (i) the sign of budgetary disequilibria and (ii) the phase of the economic cycle. Further, our endogenously estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009683459
Austerity is a concept that is often used in the public debate. It refers to fiscal policy measures that reduce government spending and raise taxes for the purposes of closing a government budget deficit. This paper analyzes the concept in the context of the current European economic crisis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107161
We extend previous work on the sustainability of the government's intertemporal budget constraint by allowing for non-linear adjustment of the fiscal variables, conditional on the sign of budgetary disequilibria and the phase of the economic cycle. Further, our endogenously estimated threshold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065030
Since the 1990s at least, UK HM Treasury has been leading a general transformation of public service and the relationship between public and private sectors, driven by a distinctive preference for the private sector. This preference has led to transplant the IFRS to provide a balance sheet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006607
In this paper, we describe key problems of the current EU’s fiscal framework and offer constructive options for its reform. A comprehensive reassessment of the rules is necessary, as the development of the rules has reached an impasse for both political and technical reasons. In our view,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179636
We construct the first comprehensive dataset of contingent liability realizations in advanced and emerging markets for the period 1990-2014. We find that contingent liability realizations are a major source of fiscal distress. The average fiscal cost of a contingent liability realization is 6...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996068
The financial crisis and recession have left a legacy of unusually large fiscal deficits and growing sovereign debt levels in most advanced economies. The paper uses recent research from the IMF to throw light on two questions: how much fiscal space is available to advanced countries before they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430862
Der Koalitionsvertrag erschwert Steuererhöhungen. Die Bundesregierung benötigt aber Einnahmen für politisch erwünschte Projekte. Aus diesem Grund plant die Regierung, den Tilgungsplan für die Coronakredite zu strecken. Diese Politik mindert die Tilgungsbelastung in der Gegenwart und schafft...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013343057