, we study whether, and to what extent, the miscalibration (largely, overconfidence) of the unskilled can be reduced by … the first study, participants improve their calibration after being exposed to naturally available information in the form … of environmental feedback (i.e., feedback about the nature of the task) and calibration feedback (i.e., feedback about …

Overconfidence in one's relative performance within a group is a wide-spread phenomenon. Similar to individual (or … within-group) overconfidence, it was also shown that individuals are, on average, overconfident about the performance of … their group relative to other groups. We hypothesize that this between-group overconfidence should mitigate within …

the relative standing of their group among other groups. On average, individuals exhibit overconfidence bias in both types …, the salience of between-group judgments should mitigate within-group overconfidence. Our second hypothesis is that within …-group overconfidence is reduced in the presence of group identity. Using a 2×2 between-subject design, we test, and find strong support for …

This study investigates the quality of direct probability judgments and quantile estimates with a focus on calibration …