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The limited usefulness of macroeconomic Bayesian VARs when estimating the probability of a US recession
Österholm, Pär - In: Journal of macroeconomics 34 (2012) 1, pp. 76-86
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009624475
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Identifying new shocks with forecast data
Hirose, Yasuo; Kurozumi, Takushi - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009561233
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Sparse Bayesian variable selection in probit model for forecasting U.S. recessions using a large set of predictors
Yang, Aijun; Xiang, Ju; Yang, Hongqiang; Jinguan, Lin - In: Computational economics 51 (2018) 4, pp. 1123-1138
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011972241
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Assessing nowcast accuracy of US GDP growth in real time : the role of booms and busts
Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 58 (2020) 1, pp. 7-27
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216341
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Bayesian methods for forecasting turning points in economic time series : sensitivity of forecasts to asymmetry of loss structures
Zellner, Arnold; Hong, Chansik - 1988
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000766181
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Dating and forecasting turning points by Bayesian clustering with dynamic structure : a suggestion with an application to Austrian data
Kaufmann, Sylvia - In: Journal of applied econometrics 25 (2010) 2, pp. 309-344
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008667598
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Real-time forecasting with a mixed-frequency VAR
Schorfheide, Frank; Song, Dongho - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 33 (2015) 3, pp. 366-380
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390382
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A new index of financial conditions
Koop, Gary; Korobilis, Dimitris - In: European economic review : EER 71 (2014), pp. 101-116
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512275
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Predicting recessions with leading indicators : model averaging and selection over the business cycle
Berge, Travis J. - In: Journal of forecasting 34 (2015) 6, pp. 455-471
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343630
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Probability distributions or point predictions? : survey forecasts of US output growth and inflation
Clements, Michael P. - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2013) 1, pp. 99-117
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010247009