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Three surveys of exchange rate expectations allow us to measure directly the expected rates of return on yen versus … dollars. Expectations of yen appreciation against the dollar have been (1) consistently large, (2) variable, and (3) greater …-term horizons expectations exhibit bandwagon effects, while at longer-term horizons they show the reverse. A 10 percent yen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476853
This paper uses a new data set, based on Reuters news articles, to capture intervention that is perceived by FX traders and probability density functions (PDFs) estimated from option data to describe market expectations. We find that, between September 1993 and April 1996, traders viewed the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061174
The survey data on the yen/dollar exchange rate, collected twice a month for eight years from 1985 to 1993, shows the … includes sub-periods of sharp yen appreciations and of relative calm, and with respect to different specifications. Third, the …. Although the history of the yen/dollar exchange rate fluctuations in the past two decades shows mean reversion over several …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225139
This paper examines the efficiency of the forward yen/dollar market using micro survey data. Conventional tests of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014222188
Three surveys of exchange rate expectations allow us to measure directly the expected rates of return on yen versus … dollars. Expectations of yen appreciation against the dollar have been (1) consistently large, (2) variable, and (3) greater …-term horizons expectations exhibit bandwagon effects, while at longer-term horizons they show the reverse. A 10 percent yen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218532
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010434666
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003377918
empirisch beobachtete Abweichung von der ungedeckten Zinsparität beim US-Dollar/Euro-Wechselkurs erklären kann. Außerdem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014015223
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003823547
a special emphasis on the first year of the euro. A contribution is made as to how to measure these roles, both for … identification of changes in the role of the euro during 1999 compared to the aggregate of euro predecessor currencies, net of intra … -euro area assets/liabilities, before stage 3 of EMU. A number of key factors determining the currency distribution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767695