We propose an automatic model order selection procedure for k-factor GARMA processes. The procedure is based on sequential tests of the maximum of the periodogram and semiparametric estimators of the model parameters. As a byproduct, we introduce a generalized version of Walker's large sample...

This study investigates the role of the institutions as a determinant of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the case of Pakistan by applying the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration technique. The results demonstrate that the institutional quality exerts long-run impact in...

This paper investigates the implications of time-varying betas in factor models for stock returns. It is shown that a single-factor model (SFMT) with autoregressive betas and homoscedastic errors (SFMT-AR) is capable of reproducing the most important stylized facts of stock returns. An empirical...

The question whether alcohol in general, and different types of alcoholic beverages in particular (e.g., beer) are normal or inferior goods is a heavily disputed issue within economics and health research. Based on recently developed theories of preference adjustment this paper argues that the...

In this paper, we investigate the main features of the Italian financial cycle, extracted by means of a structural trend-cycle decomposition of the credit-to-GDP ratio, using annual observations from 1861 to 2011. In order to draw conclusions based on solid historical data, we provide a thorough...

This research examines dynamic causal relationships between per capita calorie intake, per capita income and food prices using time series data for Turkey during 1965-2007. ARDL cointegration analysis yields an income elasticity of calorie intake of 0.22, while the food-price elasticity is...

Bu çalışmada 23.10.1987-15.02.2011 döneminde İMKB-100 endeksi getirisinin kaotik yapıya sahip olup olmadığının belirlenmesi ve kaotik davranış biçiminin varlığı durumunda öngörüde en başarılı sonucu verecek olan modelin seçilmesi amaçlanmıştır. Buna yönelik olarak ilk...

Except from being an indicator of regional development, city indexes formed in the area of finance by Borsa Istanbul might be a significant guide for investors while deciding on an investment in the relevant city. Due to the fact that the main purpose of these indexes is to monitor the price and...

This paper aims to investigate the actual nature of the interest rate pass-through to Turkish cash, automobile, housing and corporate loan rates. Focusing on the possibility of nonlinearity in the adjustment of lending rates due to financial market conditions and monetary policies, we adopt the...

This study investigates the causal dynamics between policy rate and inflation rates in BRIC-T countries by employing monthly data from the January 1993 to March 2012. The study benefits from the recent advance in the time series and carries out nonlinear cointegration, frequency domain test...