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This paper shows how the dynamic linear model with fixed regressors can be efficiently estimated. This dynamic model can be used to distinguish spurious correlation from state dependence and we show that the integrated likelihood estimator is adaptive for any asymptotics with T increasing where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292047
Accurate credit-granting decisions are crucial to the efficiency of the decentralized capital allocation mechanisms in modern market economies. Credit bureaus and many financial institutions have developed and used credit-scoring models to standardize and automate, to the extent possible, credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292074
This chapter discusses identification of common selection models of the labor market. We start with the classic Roy model and show how it can be identified with exclusion restrictions. We then extend the argument to the generalized Roy model, treatment effect models, duration models, search...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292202
This paper concerns the problem of inferring the effects of covariates on intergenerational income mobility, i.e. on the relationship between the incomes of parents and future earnings of their children. We focus on two different measures of mobility- (i) traditional transition probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292207
issues for simulation from the posterior predictive distributions. The new model is assessed based on simulation evidence, an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292240
posterior simulation and computation of the predictive density. Bayes factors and density forecasts with comparisons to GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292242
In this paper, we extend the parametric, asymmetric, stochastic volatility model (ASV), where returns are correlated with volatility, by flexibly modeling the bivariate distribution of the return and volatility innovations nonparametrically. Its novelty is in modeling the joint, conditional,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292350
While many previous studies on temporary work have found disadvantages for temporary workers as compared to workers with a permanent contract, this study compares temporary work to the alternative of unemployment. Specifically, this paper investigates the potential integrative power of taking up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292384
Some models are presented in this paper which extend the concept of measuring superefficiency to the useful case of variable returns-to-scales (VRS), thus enabling the ranking of efficient as well as inefficient units. Two models, namely the Universal Radial Model and the Universal Additive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292407
Nonparametric efficiency analysis has become a widely applied technique to support industrial benchmarking as well as a variety of incentive-based regulation policies. In practice such exercises are often plagued by incomplete knowledge about the correct specifications of inputs and outputs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292679