In an attempt to predict a peak in the US economy using a classical statistical decision methodology and a Bayesian methodology and using the 1996 revised composite leading economic indicators (CLI), it is learned that the Bayesian models have generally outperformed the classical statistical...

The principal objective of this paper is to develop a new approach to the construction of composite leading indicators using the signal extraction capabilities of the powerful Kalman filter. The resultant leading indicator properties are found to outperform those already derived using the...

Artykuł omawia wybrane relacje przychodów i kosztów w cyklu koniunktury. Koszty zwykle postrzegane są jako wskaźniki opóźnione, tj. rosną po przekroczeniu górnego punktu zwrotnego cyklu koniunktury i spadają przez czas jakiś po osiągnięciu przez gospodarkę dna. Jednak relacja...

The nexus between macroeconomic indicators and stock market has been worthy of examination in emerging markets in the recent years. This paper therefore aims to investigate the long run and causal relationship between Composite Leading Indicators (CLI) and share prices in the thirteen emerging...

This paper presents new composite leading indicators for the two largest of the EU accession countries, Poland and Hungary. Using linear and non-linear dynamic factor models we find for both countries that a parsimonious specification, which combines national business cycle indicators,series...

Purpose – This study aims to statistically investigate the place of the eurozone countries in the framework of the international economy and particularly within the most advanced non Euro-currency countries; second it attempts to explain the eventual discrepancies in the performing of the...

Purpose – This study aims to statistically investigate the place of the eurozone countries in the framework of the international economy and particularly within the most advanced non Euro‐currency countries; second it attempts to explain the eventual discrepancies in the performing of the...

The assessment of the implementation of the Basel Core Principles (BCP) was conducted for effective banking supervision in Nigeria. The assessment team reviewed the legal framework for banking supervision and held extensive discussions with the staff of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the...

The global financial crisis provided Nigerian banks with opportunities to expand within Sub-Saharan Africa. Nigerian banks have active cross-border liquidity flows, which may complicate the operation of monetary policy. The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) should enhance further its work in...