The development of free floating exchange rates can hardly be explained by macroeconomic fundamentals as supposed by traditional economic theories. Therefore, prominent economists yet conclude that there exists an ‘exchange rate disconnect puzzle’ (see Obstfeld and Rogoff [2000]). The...

The German market has seen a plunge in wholesale electricity prices from 2007 until 2014, when base futures prices dropped by more than 40 percent. In this paper we determine the fundamental components of electricity futures prices and quantify their impact on the price drop as well as on...