Pierdzioch, Christian; Rülke, Jan-Christoph; … - Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
We analyze more than 20,000 forecasts of nine metal prices at four different forecast horizons. We document that forecasts are heterogeneous and report that anti-herding appears to be a source of this heterogeneity. Forecaster anti-herding reflects strategic interactions among forecasters that...