Due to the fact that the balance of risks has moved towards a substantial cooling down of the economy, the Bank of Russia Board of Directors decided at its regular meeting on 13 March 2015 to lower by 1 p.p. the key interest rate to 14% p.a. In February 2015, the Consumer Price Index stood at...

Russian Abstract: Целью настоящей работы является проведение комплексного анализа влияния факторов на динамику реального обменного курса рубля. Во-первых, изучены...

Russian Abstract: В работе проведен многоаспектный анализ последствий шоков для экономического развития стран на современном этапе. Проведен эконометрический анализ...

The key factor in the strengthening of the real exchange rate of the ruble in the 2000s was the transformation based growth of Russia's economy (the Balassa-Samuelson effect) coupled with the improving foreign trade conditions. As can be concluded on the basis of data for Q4 2014, for the...

Due to the turmoil in the foreign exchange market, the Bank of Russia lifted on the 16th of December the key interest rate up to 17% p.a. in an effort to stop the ruble's rapid depreciation. In December 2014, the consumer price index stood at 2.6% (0.5% in December 2013 ), up 1.3 p.p. above the...

In June, the Russian Central Bank, for the first time since summer 2015, decided to reduce the key interest rate by 0.5 percentage points, to 10.5%. The decline in inflation expectations, further slowdown in inflation and stabilization of the external environment, together with the...

In Q1 2016, inflation slowed down both month-on-month and year-on-year, driven by further decline in internal demand amid a strengthening rouble, as well as due to the high base effect a year earlier. However, expectations for high inflation are still strong, which will stem decline in price...

The BOP (Balance of Payments) statistics for Q1 2016 show considerable shrinkage of the current account surplus due to a decline in exports while imports saw their decline rate slow down. At the same time, the private sector saw capital outflow decrease strongly. As a result, even though the...

Over the period March 2015 – February 2016, the growth rate of prices declined to 8.1%, while the corresponding index for February 2015 – January 2016 amounted to 9.8%. As demonstrated by the results of a survey published by the Bank of Russia, in February the median inflation expectation...

The consumer price index stood at 0.7% in October 2014 (0.2% in September 2013), 0.5 p.p. higher than the value observed in August this year. Therefore, inflation increased to 8.0% on an annualized basis. The consumer price index reached 0.7% within the first 20 days of October. On September 20...