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out using both cross section data and then monthly data for Korea to estimate an augmented demand for money equation. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826374
The paper constructs a new output gap measure for Vietnam by applying Bayesian methods to a two-equation AS-AD model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560446
with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation is inertial and … persistent when it sets in, irrespective of the source. Exchange rate pass-through to domestic inflation is low. Inflation turns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646425
these and other common features, such as correlation between the mean and variance of relative prices. In such circumstances …, robust measures of central tendency are likely to outperform the mean or standard measures of “core” inflation as indicators … of generalized inflation. The analysis also supports the use of geometric averaging in CPI construction and the targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599288
This paper develops the theoretical background for the Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging (LIBMA). The proposed approach accounts for model uncertainty by averaging over all possible combinations of predictors when making inferences about the variables of interest, and it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264140
This paper provides a selective overview of nonlinear exchange rate models recently proposed in the literature and assesses their contribution to understanding exchange rate behavior. Two key questions are examined. The first question is whether nonlinear autoregressive models of real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825647
-rate policy fits a conventional forward-looking reaction function with an inflation target of about 1 percent. The disappointing … inflation target would not have yielded a lasting improvement in performance. However, a price-targeting rule or a policy rule … that combined a higher inflation target with a more aggressive response to output would have achieved superior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008460594
This paper explores the role of exchange rates in emerging economies with inflation-targeting regimes, an issue that … has become especially germane during the current episode of financial turmoil and volatile capital flows. Under inflation … targeting, the interest rate is the main monetary policy tool for influencing activity and inflation, and there is little …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245907
direct bearing on the ongoing efforts to move toward a fully fledged inflation-targeting regime and develop interest rates as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245904
The staff report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation on Botswana highlights economic developments and monetary and exchange rate policy. Botswana’s growth has been fueled by continued increases in diamond production; and real diamond output is projected to level off, and then decline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244994