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In the past decades, much work has been geared toward solving the problem of time inconsistency in monetary policy and analyzing the coordination problem between fiscal and monetary policy. This paper provides a review of the theoretical background to these theories, while also focusing on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826014
A model in which monetary policy pursues full-fledged inflation targeting adapts well to Ghana. Model features include …: endogenous policy credibility; non-linearities in the inflation process; and a policy loss function that aims to minimize the … variability of output and the interest rate, as well as deviations of inflation from the long-term low-inflation target. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519489
slowing growth and rising inflation pressures. Korea has not remained immune to the global slowdown, and with the cycle … turning downward, the trade-off between inflation and growth is deteriorating. Subprime-related turbulences in financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245257
This paper provides a how-to guide to model-based forecasting and monetary policy analysis. It describes a simple structural model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. This workhorse model consists of an aggregate demand (or IS) curve, a price-setting (or Phillips)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599522
This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models, specifically the Nelson-Siegel Model and Affine Term- Structure Model, this paper estimates the terms structure of Treasury bond yields for the United States with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727797
inflation forecast targeting regime in Sri Lanka. The FPAS model provides a relatively good forecast for inflation and a … framework to evaluate policy trade-offs. The model simulations suggest that an open-economy inflation targeting rule can reduce … could aim to target a broad inflation range initially due to its susceptibility supply-side shocks while enhancing exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019583
After a long period of global price stability, in 2008 inflation increased sharply following unprecedented increases in … the price of oil and other commodities, notably food. Although inflation remained lower and growth higher in inflation … world slowdown helped avert the worse, but inflation stayed high in many inflation targeting countries. This paper uses a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528610
This paper examines the question of how to design an optimal and sustainable exchange rate regime in a world economy of two interdependent countries. It develops a Barro-Gordon type two-country model and compares noncooperative equilibria under different assumptions of monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264066
posterior inclusion probabilities for all the relevant regressors, and parameter estimates very close to their true values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009327870
A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news was estimated for three stock indices. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm was used for estimating Bayesian parameters and filtering volatilities. Volatility persistence being close to one was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826355