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We analyse optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a New-Keynesian model with public debt and inflation persistence … striking result is not true with high degrees of inflation persistence. Secondly, we show that optimal fiscal policy is more … active under discretion than commitment at all degrees of inflation persistence and all levels of debt. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264222
A model in which monetary policy pursues full-fledged inflation targeting adapts well to Ghana. Model features include …: endogenous policy credibility; non-linearities in the inflation process; and a policy loss function that aims to minimize the … variability of output and the interest rate, as well as deviations of inflation from the long-term low-inflation target. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519489
slowing growth and rising inflation pressures. Korea has not remained immune to the global slowdown, and with the cycle … turning downward, the trade-off between inflation and growth is deteriorating. Subprime-related turbulences in financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245257
This paper provides a how-to guide to model-based forecasting and monetary policy analysis. It describes a simple structural model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. This workhorse model consists of an aggregate demand (or IS) curve, a price-setting (or Phillips)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599522
inflation forecast targeting regime in Sri Lanka. The FPAS model provides a relatively good forecast for inflation and a … framework to evaluate policy trade-offs. The model simulations suggest that an open-economy inflation targeting rule can reduce … could aim to target a broad inflation range initially due to its susceptibility supply-side shocks while enhancing exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019583
This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models, specifically the Nelson-Siegel Model and Affine Term- Structure Model, this paper estimates the terms structure of Treasury bond yields for the United States with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727797
After a long period of global price stability, in 2008 inflation increased sharply following unprecedented increases in … the price of oil and other commodities, notably food. Although inflation remained lower and growth higher in inflation … world slowdown helped avert the worse, but inflation stayed high in many inflation targeting countries. This paper uses a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528610
This paper examines the question of how to design an optimal and sustainable exchange rate regime in a world economy of two interdependent countries. It develops a Barro-Gordon type two-country model and compares noncooperative equilibria under different assumptions of monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264066
A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news was estimated for three stock indices. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm was used for estimating Bayesian parameters and filtering volatilities. Volatility persistence being close to one was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826355
posterior inclusion probabilities for all the relevant regressors, and parameter estimates very close to their true values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009327870