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a small macro model with NAIRU uncertainity under different assumptions about the way inflation expectations are formed … inflation expectations respond endogenuously policy credibility strengthens the case for forward-looking inflation forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263924
This paper examines the implications of inflation persistence for the inverted Fisher hypothesis that nominal interest … rates do not adjust to inflation because of a high degree of substitutability between money and bonds. It is emphasized that … the substitutability between nominal assets and capital renders the hypothesis inconsistent with the data when inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826139
) has been to raise inflation targets to provide more room for policy rate easing during crises. This paper addresses a … different issue: the relationship between inflation and welfare. The literature is surveyed and a model is developed. A key … conclusion is that an increase in inflation targets gives rise to additional welfare costs, even after the extra room to maneuver …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141999
The People's Bank of China (PBC) has made great strides in modernizing its monetary policy frameworks but their effectiveness will diminish as the sophistication of the economy increases. Empirical evidence supports maintaining a reference to money in China's monetary strategy and enhancing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769272
The ECB's objective of medium-term inflation below 2 percent has been portrayed by critics as ambiguous, asymmetric … that: (1) in terms of guiding inflation expectations and policymaking, the current definition has functioned much as would … an inflation target centered on 1 1/2-1 3/4 percent; (2) the absence of a specific (point) target for medium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768947
time; non-linearities in the inflation equation and in the credibility generating process; and an explicit loss function …This paper presents a model for Inflation Targeting under imperfect policy credibility. It modifies the conventional …. The model highlights problems associated with the practice of setting a series of rigid near-term inflation targets. Also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999964
Inflation targeting (IT) serves as monetary policy framework in several advanced economies, where it has enhanced … instruments to inflation. These prerequisites are largely absent among developing countries, though several of them could with … some further institutional changes and an overriding commitment to low inflation make use of an IT framework. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604816
Numerous reports have noted that the IMF's medium-term growth projections are overly optimistic, raising questions as to how these can be improved. To this end, we estimate a growth model and examine its out-of-sample forecasting properties relative to those of IMF projections. The model's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604981
The ongoing financial turmoil has triggered a lively debate on ways of containing systemic risk and lessening the likelihood of boom-and-bust episodes in credit markets. Particularly, it has been argued that banking regulation might attenuate procyclicality in lending standards by affecting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826640
The Costa Rican economy has grown at rapid rates in the last three years, underpinned by a robust world expansion, sound economic policies, and strong business and consumer confidence. Economic policies have been well oriented. The fiscal position has substantially improved. The exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242798