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Emerging market and developing economies have experienced recurrent episodes of rapid debt accumulation over the past … fifty years. This paper examines the consequences of debt accumulation using a three-pronged approach: an event study of … debt accumulation episodes in 100 emerging market and developing economies since 1970; a series of econometric models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841869
Analysis here is founded on certain analogies with the Great Depression of the Thirties and four fundamental points: innovations, changes in the market forms, changes in income distribution and the sustainability of debts. The duration of prosperity depends first of all on the importance and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010854260
n this paper we analyze the role played by fiscal sustainability shocks on the Bolivian economic growth performance. To do this, we impose restrictions on a VAR for the Bolivian economy that allow us to identify fiscal sustainability shocks. We argue that imposing long run identification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011132488
The financial crisis that began in 2007 is especially a crisis in debt markets. A full understanding of what happened … in the financial crisis requires investigation into the plumbing of debt markets. During a financial crisis, when funds … market prices, with consequences that can echo into the real economy. This article will explain in concrete ways how debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008622131
Japan’s public debt ratio, currently about 230% of GDP. The findings indicate that fiscal consolidation amounting to around … productivity growth, as well as inflation gradually rising to 2% thanks to unconventional monetary policy measures, the debt ratio …% of GDP in 2035.<P>L'inquiétante évolution de la dette publique au Japon<BR>Ce document de travail présente la toile de …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276798
planned, with a view to reducing the debt burden below 60% of GDP by 2020. Austrian fiscal policies have tended to be pro …’est actuellement le cas, de façon à ramener la dette au-dessous de 60 % du PIB d’ici 2020. Traditionnellement, la politique budgétaire …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009358637
Substantial fiscal consolidation was achieved under the aegis of the 2003 Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act. While deficits widened anew in 2008 and 2009, against the backdrop of the global financial and economic crisis, efforts to reduce them have resumed since. To ensure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364448
-indebtedness in Africa, to reduce the continent’s exposure to foreign-currency denominated debt and to encourage good governance by … Financial Governance in Africa, which attempts to include emerging lenders in the DSF framework — the Joint Bank-Fund Debt … Sustainability Framework. The empirical analysis of debt dynamics distinguishes three country groups: African HIPC, HIPC-China (High …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004962587
This paper presents a simulation model of the main budget aggregates of federal, provincial and territorial governments in Canada. The general approach is to use a cyclical indicator (output gap), estimate the sensitivity of government revenue and expenditure to this cyclical indicator using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008548955
by the ratio of debt service to tax receipts and expected fiscal deficits. Moreover, there is evidence to suggest that … budgétaires, en particulier quand elles sont mesurées par le ratio du service de la dette aux recettes fiscales et par les …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005005487