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for main indices from stock exchanges was conducted. The VaR forecasts from GARCH(1,1), GARCH-t(1,1), GARCH-st(1,1), QML-GARCH … volatility trend. However, GARCH-st (1,1) and QML-GARCH(1,1) were found to be the most robust models in the different volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012011844
managers. This study is conducted to analyze the volatility clustering and asymmetry occurrence by employing different GARCH … estimated the analytical competence of GARCH models and found that GJR-GARCH and EGARCH executed better results than GARCH (p, q …) in RDCs stock markets. It also shows that GJR-GARCH and EGAECH explain the asymmetric behavior along with an accurate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012027052
identified by generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) are reviewed and compared in a Monte Carlo study …. The bootstrap methods considered are a wild bootstrap, a moving blocks bootstrap and a GARCH residual based bootstrap …. Estimation is done by Gaussian maximum likelihood, a simplified procedure based on univariate GARCH estimations and a method that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012038682
This paper investigates whether rumours about Greek exit from the euro area have spilled over into other European countries’ sovereign bond yields. Our empirical analysis is based on more than 64,000 daily news items on Grexit between December 2014 and October 2015. We build a Grexit intensity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012055414
Forecasting volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer from many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819006
, namely, GARCH (1,1), GJR (1,1) and EGARCH (1,1), are used to estimate the abnormal rate of change in the number of tourists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819518
The paper develops a new realized matrix-exponential GARCH (MEGARCH) model, which uses the information of returns and … three US financial assets, we compare the realized MEGARCH models with existing multivariate GARCH class models. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819520
-Maximum Likelihood Estimator for a general nonlinear conditional mean model with first-order GARCH errors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011858424
choosing an optimal Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity- (GARCH) type model. Subsequently, inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011868490
This paper investigates the propagation of instability through key asset markets of the US financial system - equity, real estate, banking and treasury - between 1/3/2000 and 12/26/2014. For this purpose, we develop an identification method to uncover characteristic financial market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903666