This paper reconsiders the implications of efficient markets for transmission of price volatility across markets. Tests of volatility transmission are based on conditional variances. Results are reported for key grain and beef markets. Transmission across cash, futures, and options is considered.

Empirical martingale simulation (EMS) was proposed by Duan and Simonato (Duan, J.-C., J.-G. Simonato. 1998. Empirical martingale simulation for asset prices. Management Sci. 44(9) 1218-1233) as an adjustment to the standard Monte Carlo simulation to reduce simulation errors. The EMS price...

Any measure of unobserved inflation uncertainty relies on specific assumptions which are most likely not fulfilled completely. This calls into question whether an individual measure delivers a reliable signal. To reduce idiosyncratic measurement error, we propose using common information...