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We develop an integrated Early Warning Global Vector Autoregressive (EW-GVAR) model to quantify the costs and benefits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975043
This paper examines the investment behavior of different financial institutions in debt securities with a particular focus on their response to price changes. For identification, we use security-level data from the German Microdatabase Securities Holdings Statistics. Our results suggest that...
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and evaluate forecasts from a paradigm GVAR with 26 countries, based on Dées, di Mauro et al. (<CitationRef CitationID …="CR13">2007</CitationRef>). The current paper empirically assesses the GVAR in Dées, di Mauro et al. (<CitationRef … improved, more robust specification of that GVAR. Some tests are suggestive of how to achieve such improvements. Copyright …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010989405
The Chinese economic development affects GDP growth and inflation in the advanced countries. A GVAR approach is used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010856800
paradigm GVAR with 26 countries, based on Dées, di Mauro, Pesaran, and Smith (2007). The current paper empirically assesses the … GVAR in Dées, di Mauro, Pesaran, and Smith (2007) with impulse indicator saturation (IIS)—a new generic procedure for … room for an improved, more robust specification of that GVAR. Some tests are suggestive of how to achieve such improvements. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878557
This paper investigates the international spillovers of housing demand shocks on real economic activity. The global economy is modeled using a Global VAR, with a novel house price data set for both advanced and emerging economies. The impulse responses to an identified US housing demand shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010943805
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics. This paper studies the interrelation between financial markets volatility and economic activity assuming that both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010943821